How's the Market? July 10, 2024

Portland Metro Real Estate Market Update: June 2024

The Portland metro area real estate market continues to evolve, presenting both opportunities and challenges for buyers and sellers alike. As we delve into the latest data from June 2024, we see a market that’s showing signs of stabilization while still grappling with inventory constraints and price fluctuations. Let’s break down the key trends and what they mean for the Portland housing landscape.

New Listings: A Noticeable Decline

June 2024 saw a significant drop in new listings, with 3,044 properties hitting the market. This represents a 7.7% decrease compared to June 2023 and a more substantial 13.2% decline from May 2024. This reduction in new inventory could be attributed to various factors, including potential sellers holding off due to economic uncertainties or simply a seasonal fluctuation. The decrease in new listings may put additional pressure on an already tight market, potentially leading to increased competition among buyers for desirable properties.

Pending Sales: Slight Cooling in Buyer Activity

Pending sales, which are a good indicator of current buyer activity, showed a slight downturn in June 2024. With 2,217 offers accepted, this represents a 2.4% decrease from June 2023 and a 6.2% drop from May 2024. While not a drastic decline, it suggests a subtle cooling in buyer enthusiasm. This could be due to factors such as rising interest rates, affordability concerns, or simply a natural ebb in the market cycle.

Closed Sales: Holding Steady

Interestingly, despite the decrease in new listings and pending sales, closed sales have remained relatively stable. June 2024 saw 2,081 closings, which is only a marginal 0.2% decrease from June 2023 and a 2.8% dip from May 2024. This stability in closings indicates that deals are still moving forward, and buyers who are in the market are committed to following through on their purchases.

Inventory and Market Time: Mixed Signals

The inventory situation in Portland presents an intriguing picture. June saw an increase to 2.6 months of inventory, which is a positive sign for buyers as it indicates a slight easing of the extremely tight market conditions we’ve seen in recent years. However, it’s important to note that a balanced market typically has around 6 months of inventory, so we’re still in a seller’s market overall.

Concurrently, the total market time decreased to 46 days. This quicker pace of sales suggests that while there might be more inventory, desirable properties are still moving fast. Buyers need to be prepared to act quickly when they find a home that meets their criteria.

Year-to-Date Performance: A Broader Perspective

Looking at the first half of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023, we see some interesting trends:

– New listings are up 3.7%, indicating increased seller confidence earlier in the year.
– Pending sales have decreased slightly by 1.2%, suggesting a minor cooldown in buyer activity.
– Closed sales have increased by 0.6%, showing overall market stability.

These year-to-date figures paint a picture of a market that’s been relatively balanced, with slight favors towards sellers due to the modest increase in closed sales despite a small decrease in pending sales.

Price Trends: Steady Appreciation Continues

The Portland metro area continues to see home values appreciate, albeit at a more moderate pace than in recent years. Comparing the first six months of 2024 to the same period in 2023:

– The average sale price increased by 2.0%, from $595,700 to $607,800.
– The median sale price rose by 2.3%, from $530,000 to $542,000.

This steady appreciation is good news for homeowners and investors, as it indicates continued strength in the market without the unsustainable rapid growth seen in some previous years.

What Does This Mean for Buyers and Sellers?

For Buyers:
– While inventory has slightly improved, the market is still competitive. Be prepared to act quickly on desirable properties.
– With prices continuing to rise, albeit modestly, now might be a good time to enter the market before further appreciation.
– The decrease in pending sales could indicate a slight easing of competition, potentially giving buyers more negotiating power.

For Sellers:
– The market still favors sellers, with low inventory and steady price appreciation.
– However, the decrease in new listings and pending sales suggests a need for realistic pricing strategies to attract buyers.
– Well-priced, well-presented homes are still selling quickly, as evidenced by the decreased market time.

Looking Ahead

As we move into the second half of 2024, the Portland metro real estate market appears to be in a state of gradual normalization. The days of frenzied bidding wars and double-digit annual price increases seem to be behind us, replaced by a more balanced, sustainable market growth.

Factors to watch in the coming months include:
– Interest rate movements and their impact on buyer affordability
– Local economic conditions, including job growth and wage increases
– Any shifts in remote work policies that could affect housing demand in different areas of the metro

In conclusion, the Portland metro real estate market in June 2024 shows signs of stability with some cooling trends. While still favoring sellers overall, the market is offering opportunities for both buyers and sellers who are well-prepared and realistic in their expectations. As always, working with a knowledgeable local real estate professional can help navigate the nuances of this evolving market landscape.